FIRST ASIA SECURITIES
DATA AS OF 20 JUN 2026 · EOD

Sri Lanka 4.0% 2030 (restructured)

USD
Sovereign bond · Government of Sri Lanka · PREVIEW
01 / Key TermsAS OF CSE · PREVIEW
Yield to Maturity
9.00%
Clean Price
78.50
% OF PAR
Coupon
4.00%
Spread
480 bps
Rating
CCC+
Maturity
15 Mar 2030
3.6Y DURATION
02 / Details
Issuer
Government of Sri Lanka
Instrument type
Sovereign bond
Currency
USD
Duration
3.6 yrs
Amount outstanding
USD 1.5 bn

PREVIEW DATA · ILLUSTRATIVE TERMS · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE

03 / Credit ViewAS OF FAS · 20 JUN 2026
MarketweightTARGET SPREAD 400 bpsTARGET YIELD 8.20%

Restructuring is done; the re-rating is slower

The case
  1. 01

    Post-restructuring the bond trades near 78 on a ~480bps spread, pricing a still-fragile recovery.

  2. 02

    A primary surplus and steady IMF reviews support gradual spread compression from here.

  3. 03

    Total return is carry plus modest pull-to-par — a hold-and-clip story, not a sharp re-rate.

Key risks
  • Reform fatigue or a political cycle that stalls the IMF path.
  • A tourism or FX shock denting the external recovery.
  • Renewed global frontier risk-off.

— GENERATED BY FIRST ASIA SECURITIES · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE