TRG
TRG PakistanLAST · PKR
52W RANGE
NAV discount and losses persist.
FAS DESK · FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · 23 JUN 2026 · EOD
Loss-making holdco, elusive value — Sell
- 01
Sell, PKR 55 target: TRG is currently loss-making (negative EPS, −14% ROE) with no dividend, and the value of its CX/fintech stakes has repeatedly failed to crystallize.
- 02
Holdco value depends on IBEX and Afiniti outcomes; without a monetisation event, the NAV discount and the losses persist.
- 03
No income and the highest beta in coverage mean you are paid nothing to wait through the volatility.
- 04
We see ~17% downside to PKR 55; the equity is an option on a transaction, not an earnings stream.
| Street view | Our view | We change our mind if |
|---|---|---|
| The stakes are worth far more than the market cap. | Perhaps on paper — but realization has disappointed for years while the holdco loses money; we mark to outcomes. | A concrete, value-accretive monetisation of a major stake. |
| An Afiniti / IBEX event sends it sharply higher. | Possible — the key upside risk to our call — but binary and unpredictable; not investable as a base case. | A signed transaction crystallising stake value. |
| Judge it on NAV, not earnings. | With negative earnings, no dividend and uncertain NAV, there is no hard anchor under the price. | A return to profitability or recurring cash distributions. |
— FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
- P/E (ttm)
- n/m
- P/E (FY26E)
- n/m
- Dividend yield
- 0.0%
- Market cap
- 36bn
- Return on equity
- -13.7%
- EPS (ttm)
- -8.82
- Beta
- 0.78
- Free float
- 85%
- 52W high / low
- 81.84 / 40.83
- YTD return
- −11.0%
Holding company with stakes in global CX and fintech ventures including IBEX and Afiniti.
| Metric | FY25A | FY26E | FY27E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net profitPKR bn | -5.0 | -3.0 | -2.0 |
| EPSPKR | -8.8 | -6.2 | -3.7 |
| DPSPKR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| P/E× | n/m | n/m | n/m |
| EPS growth% | — | −30.0% | −40.0% |
A = REPORTED · E = FAS ESTIMATE
Statements follow with FY25 annual accounts.
| Symbol | Last | Chg % | P/E | M. Cap | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYSSystems Limited | 141.86 | −1.15% | 19.5× | 220bn | |
| TRGTRG Pakistan— THIS PAGE | 64.07 | −2.30% | n/m | 36bn |