FIRST ASIA SECURITIES
DATA AS OF 20 JUN 2026 · EOD

AEL

Access Engineering
CONSTRUCTION

LAST · LKR

77.99
−1.08 −1.37%

52W RANGE

71.2496.95
26% OF RANGE · YTD +7.4%
01 / AEL — 1 YearAS OF 20 JUN 2026 · EOD
PERIOD 1Y · 250 SESSIONS

Source: CSE, First Asia Securities Research. Data as of 20 Jun 2026, EOD.

02 / Fundamentals
Market cap
78bn
P/E (ttm)
11.0×
EPS (ttm)
7.09
Dividend yield
2.6%
Return on equity
18.0%
Beta
0.59
Free float
41%
52W high
96.95
52W low
71.24
1D change
−1.37%
YTD return
+7.4%

Access Engineering is a constituent of the Colombo Stock Exchange. Preview data — live CSE feed pending.

03 / Research NoteAS OF 23 JUN 2026 · EOD
Coverage
AEL
Construction
Rating
BUY
+22% 12-mo upside
12-Mo Target
95.00LKR
TARGET PRICE
Close
77.99LKR
23 Jun 2026
Market Cap
78bn
LKR
52-Week Range
71.2496.95
26% OF RANGE

FAS DESK · FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · 23 JUN 2026 · EOD

Geared to the infrastructure restart

  1. 01

    Buy, LKR 95 target: Access Engineering is the cleanest play on Sri Lanka's infrastructure restart — an 18% ROE at 11× as stalled projects resume under the IMF programme.

  2. 02

    A strong order book and public-plus-donor-funded works drive a multi-year earnings recovery.

  3. 03

    Falling rates ease project financing and revive private construction alongside.

  4. 04

    At ~12× FY26E our LKR 95 target re-rates the order-book recovery.

Estimates
MetricFY25AFY26EFY27E
Net profitLKR bn7.08.09.0
EPSLKR7.18.29.2
DPSLKR2.02.22.4
P/E×11.0×9.5×8.5×
EPS growth%+15.0%+12.0%

A = REPORTED · E = FAS ESTIMATE

Risk / RewardVS CLOSE 77.99 LKR
BEAR60.00−23%
BASE95.00+22%
BULL115.00+47%
NOW77.99
BEAR−23%
60.00LKR

Public works stay frozen; receivables build.

8.5× stressed EPS

BASE+22%
95.00LKR

Projects resume; order book rebuilds.

12× FY26E

BULL+47%
115.00LKR

Infrastructure cycle accelerates.

13.5× FY26E

Key Debates
01

Is the infrastructure restart real?

Market View

Fiscal constraints keep public works frozen.

Our View

IMF-anchored stabilisation and donor funding are reviving projects; the order book is rebuilding.

What Would Change Our Mind

Public-works budgets staying frozen.

02

Order-book visibility?

Market View

Lumpy and government-dependent.

Our View

A diversified book across roads, water and buildings smooths the lumpiness.

What Would Change Our Mind

Order intake stalling for two quarters.

03

Margin and working-capital risk?

Market View

Contractors carry receivable and margin risk.

Our View

Improving public finances ease payment risk as the economy recovers.

What Would Change Our Mind

Receivables ballooning on delayed government payments.

Valuation BridgeLKR · 12-MO
AssumptionValueBasis
FY26E EPSLKR 8.2FY25 base +15% on order book
Target multiple~12× FY26Ere-rate on the recovery from 11×
ROE18%supports the multiple
12-month targetLKR 95≈12 × 8.2, rounded
Key RisksRANKED · W/ INDICATOR
  • 01
    Public-works budgets
    WATCH · Government capex, donor funding
  • 02
    Order-book intake
    WATCH · New awards, backlog
  • 03
    Receivables / payment risk
    WATCH · Government receivables
  • 04
    Input costs / rupee
    WATCH · Material prices, LKR/USD

— GENERATED BY FIRST ASIA SECURITIES · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE