DIAL
Dialog AxiataLAST · LKR
45.92
−0.81 ▼ −1.73%
P/E 16.3× · YIELD 3.3% · ROE 28.4%
52W RANGE
41.7548.57
61% OF RANGE · YTD +3.7%
01 / DIAL — 1 YearAS OF 20 JUN 2026 · EOD
PERIOD 1Y · 250 SESSIONS▲
The Call
NEUTRAL+9%
50.00LKR · 12-MO
16× FY26E
Steady data growth; fairly valued.
Risks to our view
02 /
FAS DESK · FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · 23 JUN 2026 · EOD
Market leader, priced for its quality
- 01
Neutral, LKR 50 target: Dialog is the telecom leader with a 28% ROE, but at 16× — the largest cap on the board — the quality is in the price.
- 02
Data growth, a consolidated market and falling rates support steady earnings; the recovery is well understood.
- 03
A 3.3% yield is adequate but not the case at this multiple.
- 04
At ~16× FY26E our LKR 50 target is modest; we would add on a pull-back.
Where we differ from the street
| Street view | Our view | We change our mind if |
|---|---|---|
| The premium to the market is steep. | The franchise earns a premium, but 16× is full — hence Neutral. | A pull-back, or data-led growth re-accelerating. |
| Fewer players, better pricing. | Yes — rational competition supports margins, but it is already priced. | A price war or a new entrant. |
| 5G and network capex drain cash. | Capex is manageable against strong cash flow; the payout is sustainable. | A capex step-up that cuts the payout. |
— FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
Key Ratios
- P/E (ttm)
- 16.3×
- P/E (FY26E)
- 14.8×
- Dividend yield
- 3.3%
- Market cap
- 422bn
- Return on equity
- 28.4%
- EPS (ttm)
- 2.81
- Beta
- 0.82
- Free float
- 41%
- 52W high / low
- 48.57 / 41.75
- YTD return
- +3.7%
Dialog Axiata is a constituent of the Colombo Stock Exchange. Preview data — live CSE feed pending.
Estimates
| Metric | FY25A | FY26E | FY27E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net profitLKR bn | 26.0 | 29.0 | 32.0 |
| EPSLKR | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| DPSLKR | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| P/E× | 16.4× | 14.8× | 13.5× |
| EPS growth% | — | +10.0% | +10.0% |
A = REPORTED · E = FAS ESTIMATE
Income Statement · FY26E
Statements follow with FY25 annual accounts.
| Symbol | Last | Chg % | P/E | M. Cap | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIALDialog Axiata— THIS PAGE | 45.92 | −1.73% | 16.3× | 422bn | |
| SLTLSri Lanka Telecom | 86.08 | −0.75% | 14.0× | 155bn |