FIRST ASIA SECURITIES
DATA AS OF 20 JUN 2026 · EOD

MELS

Melstacorp
CONGLOMERATE

LAST · LKR

195.27
+2.08 +1.08%

52W RANGE

179.39224.31
35% OF RANGE · YTD −8.4%
01 / MELS — 1 YearAS OF 20 JUN 2026 · EOD
PERIOD 1Y · 250 SESSIONS

Source: CSE, First Asia Securities Research. Data as of 20 Jun 2026, EOD.

02 / Fundamentals
Market cap
217bn
P/E (ttm)
11.3×
EPS (ttm)
17.22
Dividend yield
3.5%
Return on equity
12.1%
Beta
0.55
Free float
53%
52W high
224.31
52W low
179.39
1D change
+1.08%
YTD return
−8.4%

Melstacorp is a constituent of the Colombo Stock Exchange. Preview data — live CSE feed pending.

03 / Research NoteAS OF 23 JUN 2026 · EOD
Coverage
MELS
Conglomerate
Rating
NEUTRAL
+8% 12-mo upside
12-Mo Target
210.00LKR
TARGET PRICE
Close
195.27LKR
23 Jun 2026
Market Cap
217bn
LKR
52-Week Range
179.39224.31
35% OF RANGE

FAS DESK · FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · 23 JUN 2026 · EOD

Holdco discount on a spirits-anchored portfolio

  1. 01

    Neutral, LKR 210 target: Melstacorp is a holdco anchored by the Distilleries spirits business, with beverages, telecoms and plantations alongside — fairly valued at 11.3×.

  2. 02

    The defensive spirits core provides ballast while the diversified arms gear to the recovery.

  3. 03

    A persistent holdco discount to the sum of the parts caps the re-rate absent a catalyst.

  4. 04

    At ~11.5× FY26E our LKR 210 target is modest; we would need a value-unlock to turn constructive.

Estimates
MetricFY25AFY26EFY27E
Net profitLKR bn19.021.023.0
EPSLKR17.318.720.2
DPSLKR6.77.17.5
P/E×11.3×10.4×9.7×
EPS growth%+8.0%+8.0%

A = REPORTED · E = FAS ESTIMATE

Risk / RewardVS CLOSE 195.27 LKR
BEAR165.00−16%
BASE210.00+8%
BULL250.00+28%
NOW195.27
BEAR−16%
165.00LKR

Discount widens; excise hits the core.

9× stressed EPS

BASE+8%
210.00LKR

Steady core; discount holds.

11.5× FY26E

BULL+28%
250.00LKR

Value-unlock narrows the discount.

13× FY26E

Key Debates
01

Will the holdco discount close?

Market View

Simplification unlocks NAV.

Our View

Possible, but the discount has persisted; it needs a concrete catalyst.

What Would Change Our Mind

A divestment or restructuring that crystallises value.

02

Is the spirits ballast enough?

Market View

Defensive core, cyclical arms — balanced.

Our View

Yes, but balance means steady, not a re-rate.

What Would Change Our Mind

A diversified arm turning into a growth driver.

03

Capital allocation?

Market View

Holdco capital risks value erosion.

Our View

Track record is reasonable; the discount already reflects skepticism.

What Would Change Our Mind

Capital into low-return ventures.

Valuation BridgeLKR · 12-MO
AssumptionValueBasis
FY26E EPSLKR 18.6FY25 base +8%
Target multiple~11.5× FY26Eholdco discount persists
Dividend yield3.5%supports a modest return
12-month targetLKR 210≈11.5 × 18.6, rounded
Key RisksRANKED · W/ INDICATOR
  • 01
    Holdco discount
    WATCH · NAV gap, capital allocation
  • 02
    Excise on spirits core
    WATCH · Alcohol tax policy
  • 03
    Diversified-arm execution
    WATCH · Segment results
  • 04
    Rupee / inputs
    WATCH · LKR/USD

— GENERATED BY FIRST ASIA SECURITIES · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE

04 / Sector Peers
SymbolLastChg %P/EM. Cap1Y
JKHJohn Keells Holdings22.60+0.09%29.4×358bn
MELSMelstacorp— THIS PAGE195.27+1.08%11.3×217bn

Source: CSE, First Asia Securities Research. Data as of 20 Jun 2026, EOD.