BAHL
Bank Al HabibLAST · PKR
176.11
+0.14 ▲ +0.08%
P/E 6.5× · YIELD 8.8% · ROE 18.2%
52W RANGE
142.06202.81
56% OF RANGE · YTD −3.0%
01 / BAHL — 1 YearAS OF 13 JUL 2026 · EOD
PERIOD 1Y · 250 SESSIONS▲
The Call
BUY+16%
205.00PKR · 12-MO
7.4× FY26E
Steady compounding; partial re-rate.
Risks to our view
02 /
FAS DESK · FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · 23 JUN 2026 · EOD
Pristine asset quality, an 8.8% yield, six times earnings
- 01
Buy, PKR 205 target: BAHL trades at 6.5× with an 18% ROE and an 8.8% yield — value-and-income from the cleanest balance sheet among the banks.
- 02
Conservative, family-sponsored management delivers pristine asset quality and steady branch-led growth.
- 03
The 8.8% yield pays you well to hold while the multiple re-rates.
- 04
A modest move to ~7.4× FY26E gets to PKR 205; clean books rarely stay this cheap.
Where we differ from the street
| Street view | Our view | We change our mind if |
|---|---|---|
| Lower free float and conservatism cap the multiple. | Liquidity explains some discount, not 6.5× on pristine books; this is mispricing. | Asset quality deteriorating from the current base. |
| Conservatism leaves growth on the table. | Through-cycle, low credit costs and steady compounding beat aggressive lending. | A strategy shift toward riskier lending. |
| Same rate sensitivity as peers. | Branch-led low-cost deposits cushion the give-back; asset quality protects credit costs. | Sharp NIM compression with rising infection. |
— FIRST ASIA SECURITIES RESEARCH · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
Key Ratios
- P/E (ttm)
- 6.5×
- P/E (FY26E)
- 6.1×
- Dividend yield
- 8.8%
- Market cap
- 185bn
- Return on equity
- 18.2%
- EPS (ttm)
- 26.08
- Beta
- 0.31
- Free float
- 50%
- 52W high / low
- 202.81 / 142.06
- YTD return
- −3.0%
Conservative, family-sponsored bank with pristine asset quality and steady branch-led growth.
Estimates
| Metric | FY25A | FY26E | FY27E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net profitPKR bn | 28.0 | 30.0 | 33.0 |
| EPSPKR | 26.3 | 27.9 | 30.7 |
| DPSPKR | 15.0 | 15.9 | 16.9 |
| P/E× | 6.5× | 6.1× | 5.6× |
| EPS growth% | — | +6.0% | +10.0% |
A = REPORTED · E = FAS ESTIMATE
Income Statement · FY26E
Statements follow with FY25 annual accounts.
| Symbol | Last | Chg % | P/E | M. Cap | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBLUnited Bank | 476.41 | −1.58% | 7.7× | 1.10tn | |
| MEBLMeezan Bank | 547.08 | −1.90% | 10.2× | 921bn | |
| MCBMCB Bank | 412.51 | −1.16% | 8.3× | 474bn | |
| HBLHabib Bank | 310.93 | −0.91% | 6.5× | 430bn | |
| BAHLBank Al Habib— THIS PAGE | 176.11 | +0.08% | 6.5× | 185bn |